2026 Senate Race Odds Monitor

Updated July 18, 2026 at 12:05 PM EDT

#	State	Dem vs Rep Odds	Dem %	24h Chg	Dem Seats	Trend (Dem %)

Data from Kalshi & Polymarket prediction markets. Odds are volume-weighted (last 7 days) mid-prices where both sources available. Seat count assumes Dems hold 34 non-2026 seats + 10 safe holds (CO, VA, RI, OR, MA, DE, NM, IL, NJ, MN) = 44 base. Includes Ohio special election (Vance vacancy). Not financial advice.